INSIGHTS
March 2025 results and information on variance and bank management (05/04/25)
Best Odds
Outlay: 10.7u
Return: 12.14u
Profit: +1.44u
POT: 13.46%
BSP (-7% commission)
Outlay: 10.7u
Return: 10.28u
Profit: -0.42u
POT: -3.9%
3rd Best Odds
Outlay: 10.7u
Return: 11.95u
Profit: +1.25u
POT: 11.68%
Having run this service for over 3 years I see the constant correlation of influx of new members come in when we are on a winning streak and all the cancellations come through when we have a series of losers in a row.
You need to understand being profitable in this space of betting is a long term investment. Yes, we have had 11 losses in a row but they have all been good bets with 9 out of the 11 selections sent out beating the Betfair Starting Price. Meaning in the long term you will be profitable placing these bets. Today's selection was sent out at $2.8 and it was backed into a BSP of $1.97 meaning those that got top odds beat the market by 42% and that's a great bet.
If you have a short term approach to betting thinking its a quick get rich scheme this aint the service for you. Variance is a factor in gambling and it's how you manage this variance and losing periods which determines your success. The main thing is you stay in the game and you achieve this by managing your bank.
What I generally recommend is you have a set bank which you manage. Just keep track of your bets and adjust your unit size as your bank decreases or increases by 10%. By keeping your unit size in proportion to your bank, it allows you to stay in the game, and ride out any periods of losing streaks which may occur. I am confident in my selections, and these periods of negative variance are nothing out of the ordinary and I know that over time we will ride out these periods and easily recover these losses and grow our banks to new highs.
Currently for 2025 the overall results have been extremely strong and we are at
Best Odds - POT 38%
BSP - POT 19%
3rd Best Odds - POT 35%